3 year old season only!
Automatic Elemanation Factors- Handicapping 20 horses in the Derby is near impossible this system helps eliminate pretenders and focuses on the past winning factors to cut the field down to 6-8 horses. Just click on the factor for a detailed expanation with results going back to 1992.
Since 1992 when BSR started
32 years with one declining BSR are 75-2-2-1
32 horses with 2 straight declining BSR are 32-0-1-0 extremely negative pattern.
- Entrant only had two prep races they can be exempt from this factor
- Switch to All-weather exempt from this factor
- no 2020 Covid
| Post | Derby 2025 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| Post | Derby 2024 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 1 | Dornoch | Blue Grass | 10 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | Arkansas Derby | 1 |
| 15 | Domestic Product | Tampa Derby | 13 |
| Post | Derby 2023 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 7 | Reincarnate | Arkansas Derby | 13 |
| 12 | Jaces Road | Louisiana Derby | 12 |
| 16 | Raise Cain | Blue Grass | 16 |
| 18 | Rocket Can | Arkansas Derby | 18 |
| Post | Derby 2022 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 17 | Classic Causeway | Florida Derby | 11 |
| Post | Derby 2021 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 4 | Keepmeinmind | Blue Grass | 7 |
| 7 | Mandaloun | Louisiana Derby | 1 |
| Post | Derby 2019 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 1 | War of Will | Louisiana Derby | 8 |
| 14 | Win Win Win | Blue Grass | 10 |
| 18 | Long Range Toddy | Arkansas Derby | 17 |
| Post | Derby 2018 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 10 | My Boy Jack | Lexington | 5 |
| 13 | Bravazo | Louisiana Derby | 6 |
| 15 | Instilled Regard | Santa Anita Derby | 4 |
| Post | Derby 2017 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 4 | Untrapped | Arkansas Derby | 12 |
| 10 | Gunnevera | Florida Derby | 7 |
| 16 | Tapwrit | Blue Grass | 6 |
| 18 | Gormley | Santa Anita Derby | 9 |
| Post | Derby 2016 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 4 | Mo Tom | Louisiana Derby | 8 |
| 6 | My Man Sam | Blue Grass | 11 |
| 14 | Mohaymen | Florida Derby | 4 |
| 20 | Danzing Candy | Santa Anita Derby | 15 |
| Post | Derby 2015 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 13 | Itsaknockout | Florida Derby | 9 |
| Post | Derby 2014 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 2 | Harry's Holiday | Blue Grass | 16 |
| 3 | Uncle Sigh | Wood Memorial | 14 |
| 15 | Tapiture | Arkansas Derby | 15 |
| Post | Derby 2013 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 2 | Oxbow | Arkansas Derby | 6 |
| 12 | Itsmyluckyday | Florida Derby | 15 |
| 13 | Falling Sky | Arkansas Derby | 19 |
| 14 | Verrazano | Wood Memorial | 14 |
| Post | Derby 2012 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 2 | Optimizer | Arkansas Derby | 11 |
| 16 | El Padrino | Florida Derby | 13 |
| Post | Derby 2011 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 17 | Soldat | Florida Derby | 11 |
| 19 | Watch Me Go | Illinois Derby | 18 |
| Post | Derby 2010 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| none |
| Post | Derby 2009 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 17 | Nowhere to Hide | Illinois Derby | 17 |
| Post | Derby 2008 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| none |
| Post | Derby 2007 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 18 | Any Given Saturday | Wood Memorial | 8 |
| Post | Derby 2006 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 3 | Keyed Entry | Wood Memorial | 20 |
| 13 | Bluegrass Cat | Blue Grass | 2 |
| 14 | Deputy Glitters | Wood Memorial | 8 |
| 15 | Seaside Retreat | Blue Grass | 10 |
| 20 | Flashy Bull | Florida Derby | 14 |
| Post | Derby 2005 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 3 | Sun King | Blue Grass | 15 |
| Post | Derby 2004 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 8 | Imperialism | Santa Anita Derby | 3 |
| Post | Derby 2003 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 3 | Atswhatimtalknbout | Santa Anita Derby | 4 |
| 6 | Offlee Wild | Blue Grass | 12 |
| 9 | Lone Star Sky | Illinois Derby | 15 |
| 13 | Ten Cents a Shine | Blue Grass | 8 |
| Post | Derby 2002 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 6 | Ocean Sound | Blue Grass | 17 |
| 13 | Harlan's Holiday | Blue Grass | 7 |
| 14 | Came Home | Santa Anita Derby | 6 |
| 16 | It'sallinthechase | Arkansas Derby | 16 |
| Post | Derby 2001 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 5 | Fifty Stars | Lone Star | 9 |
| 7 | Arctic Boy | Arkansas Derby | 12 |
| 12 | Startac | Cal Derby | 10 |
>
| Post | Derby 2000 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 4 | Hal's Hope | Blue Grass | 16 |
| 12 | Commendable | Lexington | 17 |
| 16 | Exchange Rate | Wood Memorial | 12 |
| Post | Derby 1999 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 3 | Ecton Park | Arkansas Derby | 12 |
| 7 | Answer Lively | Arkansas Derby | 10 |
| Post | Derby 1998 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 1 | Nationalore | Santa Anita Derby | 19 |
| 12 | Artax | Santa Anita Derby | 13 |
| Post | Derby 1997 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby | Finished |
| 3 | Concerto | FrcoTsio | 9 |
| Post | Derby 1996 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 2 | Victory Speech | Jim Beam | 10 |
| 3 | Diligence | Blue Grass | 9 |
| 5 | Halo Sunshine | Arkansas Derby | 4 |
| 6 | Semoran | Blue Grass | 14 |
| 13 | Honour and Glory | Santa Anita Derby | 18 |
| 14 | Built for Pleasure | Flamingo | 19 |
| 18 | Matty G | Santa Anita Derby | 17 |
| Post | Derby 1995 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| none |
| Post | Derby 1994 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| none |
| Post | Derby 1993 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 5 | Prairie Bayou | Blue Grass | 2 |
| 9 | Silver of Silver | Lexington | 8 |
| 17 | Corby | Blue Grass | 6 |
| Post | Derby 1992 Entrant | Final Prep Race | Finished in Derby |
| 6 | Devil His Due | Wood Memorial | 12 |
