The entrant must have finished in the money in at least two races as a 3yo. This value of this factor is two fold. First of all it tries to identify consistency among the entrants, but secondly it also means that a horse with two preps has very little wiggle room. The profile does not have any factor concerning the actual number of prep races. It only makes minimum requirement of what a horse must get from their prep races. In this case it effectively means that any horse with one prep is eliminated and also any horse with two preps who did not run well in both. Of course horses who do poorly over 3 or 4 preps can also be eliminated.
3 year old season only!
Automatic Elemanation Factors- Handicapping 20 horses in the Derby is near impossible this system helps eliminate pretenders and focuses on the past winning factors to cut the field down to 6-8 horses. Just click on the factor for a detailed expanation with results going back to 1992.
Horses Eliminated Since 1992
89 Starts 2 Wins
| Post |
Derby 2025 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
|
|
|
|
| Post |
Derby 2024 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 1 |
Dornoch |
Blue Grass |
10 |
| 7 |
Honor Marie |
Louisiana Derby |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2023 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 11 |
Sun Thunder |
Blue Grass |
11 |
| 10 |
Jaces Road |
Louisiana Derby |
17 |
| 13 |
Raise Cain |
Blue Grass |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2022 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 7 |
Crown Pride |
UAE Derby |
13 |
| Post |
Derby 2021 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 4 |
Keepmeinmind |
Blue Grass |
7 |
| 3 |
Brooklyn Strong |
Wood Memorial |
13 |
| 17 |
Super Stock |
Arkansas Derby |
16 |
| 12 |
Helium |
Tampa Derby |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2019 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 9 |
Plus Que Parfait |
UAE Derby |
9 |
| Post |
Derby 2018 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 3 |
Promises Fulfilled |
Florida Derby |
14 |
| 6 |
Good Magic |
Blue Grass |
2 |
| 15 |
Instilled Regard |
Santa Anita Derby |
4 |
| Post |
Derby 2017 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Classic Empire |
Arkansas Derby |
4 |
| Post |
Derby 2016 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 19 |
Brody's Cause |
Blue Grass |
7 |
| Post |
Derby 2015 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 1 |
Ocho Ocho Ocho |
Blue Grass |
14 |
| Post |
Derby 2014 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 19 |
Wicked Strong |
Wood Memorial |
4 |
| Post |
Derby 2013 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 10 |
Lines of Battle |
Wood Memorial |
7 |
| 4 |
Normandy Invasion |
Wood Memorial |
4 |
| 5 |
Mylute |
Louisiana Derby |
5 |
| 8 |
Overanalyze |
Arkansas Derby |
11 |
| 3 |
Golden Soul |
Louisiana Derby |
2 |
| Post |
Derby 2012 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 2 |
Optimizer |
Arkansas Derby |
11 |
| 1 |
Daddy Long Legs |
UAE Derby |
20 |
| 18 |
Sabercat |
Arkansas Derby |
15 |
| 20 |
Liaison |
Santa Anita Derby |
6 |
| 17 |
Done Talking |
Illinois Derby |
14 |
| 7 |
Rousing Sermon |
Louisiana Derby |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2011 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 11 |
Master of Hounds |
UAE Derby |
5 |
| 12 |
Santiva |
Blue Grass |
6 |
| 4 |
Stay Thirsty |
Florida Derby |
12 |
| 6 |
Comma to the Top |
Santa Anita Derby |
19 |
| Post |
Derby 2010 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 6 |
Stately Victor |
Blue Grass |
8 |
| 15 |
Discreetly Mine |
Louisiana Derby |
13 |
| 11 |
Devil May Care |
Bonnie Miss |
10 |
| 3 |
Noble's Promise |
Arkansas Derby |
5 |
| 9 |
Make Music for Me |
Blue Grass |
4 |
| 19 |
Homeboykris |
Alw |
16 |
| Post |
Derby 2009 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 8 |
Mine That Bird |
Sunland Derby |
1 |
| 17 |
Nowhere To Hide |
Illinois Derby |
17 |
| Post |
Derby 2008 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Monba |
Blue Grass |
20 |
| 11 |
Z Humor |
Illinois Derby |
14 |
| 2 |
Tale Of Ekati |
Wood Memorial |
4 |
| 3 |
Anak Nakal |
Wood Memorial |
7 |
| Post |
Derby 2007 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 16 |
Circular Quay |
Louisiana Derby |
6 |
| 20 |
Great Hunter |
Blue Grass |
13 |
| 5 |
Imawildandcrazyguy |
Florida Derby |
4 |
| 9 |
Liquidity |
Santa Anita Derby |
14 |
| 17 |
Stormello |
Florida Derby |
19 |
| Post |
Derby 2006 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 15 |
Seaside Retreat |
Blue Grass |
10 |
| 12 |
Private Vow |
Arkansas Derby |
15 |
| 20 |
Flashy Bull |
Florida Derby |
14 |
| Post |
Derby 2005 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Wilko |
Santa Anita Derby |
6 |
| 13 |
Spanish Chestnut |
Blue Grass |
16 |
| Post |
Derby 2004 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Castledale |
Santa Anita Derby |
14 |
| 16 |
Tapit |
Wood Memorial |
9 |
| 12 |
Read the Footnotes |
Florida Derby |
7 |
| 4 |
Action This Day |
Blue Grass |
6 |
| 11 |
Birdstone |
Lanes End |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2003 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Outta Here |
NAS |
7 |
| 13 |
Ten Cents A Shine |
Blue Grass |
8 |
| 8 |
Indian Express |
Santa Anita Derby |
14 |
| Post |
Derby 2002 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 12 |
Proud Citizen |
Lexington |
2 |
| 1 |
Johannesburg |
CUR |
8 |
| 15 |
Saarland |
Wood Memorial |
10 |
| 11 |
Castle Gandolfo |
Alw |
12 |
| Post |
Derby 2001 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 6 |
Express Tour |
NAS |
8 |
| Post |
Derby 2000 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 11 |
China Visit |
NAD |
6 |
| 6 |
Deputy Warlock |
Blue Grass |
10 |
| 1 |
Anees |
Santa Anita Derby |
13 |
| 12 |
Commendable |
Lexington |
17 |
| Post |
Derby 1999 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 11 |
Worldly Manner |
Del Mar Futurity |
7 |
| 19 |
Lemon Drop Kid |
Blue Grass |
9 |
| Post |
Derby 1998 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 14 |
Old Trieste |
Alw |
10 |
| Post |
Derby 1997 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 6 |
Celtic Warrior |
Blue Grass |
10 |
| 11 |
Deeds Not Words |
Lone Star Derby |
10 |
| Post |
Derby 1996 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| |
No Eliminations |
|
|
| Post |
Derby 1995 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 7 |
Eltish |
NEW |
6 |
| 19 |
Citadeed |
NEW |
9 |
| 17 |
Citadeed |
KYO |
14 |
| Post |
Derby 1994 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| |
No Eliminations |
|
|
| Post |
Derby 1993 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 6 |
Sea Hero |
Blue Grass |
1 |
| 13 |
Wild Gale |
Lexington |
3 |
| 9 |
Silver of Silver |
Lexington |
8 |
| 8 |
Rockamundo |
Arkansas Derby |
17 |
| 19 |
El Bakan |
Lexington |
18 |
| Post |
Derby 1992 Entrant |
Final Prep Race |
Finished in Derby |
| 15 |
Dr Devious |
Craven Stakes |
7 |
| 17 |
Arazi |
Prix Omnium II |
8 |
