Breeders Distaff

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Cutting-Edge ideas often imitated but never duplicated.

Although it hasn't been updated in years, it remains effective.


Key indicators to identify the victor of the Breeders' Distaff.

  • 6 to 8 race campaign
  • Sharp prep in last
  • Competitive in G1 race

Eliminate

  • Less than 3 races in campaign
  • Far outside posts
  • No graded stakes win

Take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
  • 3yo: 3-8-35
  • 4yo: 7-9-44
  • 5yo: 0-2-18
  • 6yo: 0-0-4
  • Horses aged 3 or 4 have won the last 10
  • 4yos have the strongest record, having won 7 of last 9.
  • In the race’s history, 5 of 9 winners aged 3 had finished in first 4 in previous year’s Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies.
Tidbits from Kennedy's Corridor

Recent/Past Form:

  • 10 of 10 winnershad run 4 to 7 times that year
  • 10 of 10 winners had their last run between 20 and 35 days ago
  • 10 of 10 winners had won over 1M 1/2F or 1M 1/4
  • 8 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 (2 exceptions had finished 2nd in multiple grade 1's)
  • 10 of 10 winners had won a graded race
  • 9 of 10 winners were having their first run in the race

Summary:

  • Aged 4 (or 3yo who finished in first 3 in Alabama Stakes, CC American or Kentucky Oaks)
  • Run 4 to 7 times (finishing in first 4 on all starts)
  • Had last run between 20 and 35 days ago
  • Finished in first 4 in Zenyatta or Beldame Stakes last time
  • Ran in Milady, Apple Blossom, La Canada and/or Clement L Hirsch Stakes
  • Won a graded stakes this year
  • Previous grade 1 winner (or finished 2nd in multiple grade 1)
  • Has won over 1M 1/2 or 1M 1/4
Summary and Recent/Past Form from racecaller