Cutting-Edge ideas often imitated but never duplicated.
Although it hasn't been updated in years, it remains effective.
Key indicators to identify the victor of the Breeders' Distaff.
- 6 to 8 race campaign
- Sharp prep in last
- Competitive in G1 race
Eliminate
- Less than 3 races in campaign
- Far outside posts
- No graded stakes win
Take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)- 3yo: 3-8-35
- 4yo: 7-9-44
- 5yo: 0-2-18
- 6yo: 0-0-4
- Horses aged 3 or 4 have won the last 10
- 4yos have the strongest record, having won 7 of last 9.
- In the race’s history, 5 of 9 winners aged 3 had finished in first 4 in previous year’s Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies.
Recent/Past Form:
- 10 of 10 winnershad run 4 to 7 times that year
- 10 of 10 winners had their last run between 20 and 35 days ago
- 10 of 10 winners had won over 1M 1/2F or 1M 1/4
- 8 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 (2 exceptions had finished 2nd in multiple grade 1's)
- 10 of 10 winners had won a graded race
- 9 of 10 winners were having their first run in the race
Summary:
- Aged 4 (or 3yo who finished in first 3 in Alabama Stakes, CC American or Kentucky Oaks)
- Run 4 to 7 times (finishing in first 4 on all starts)
- Had last run between 20 and 35 days ago
- Finished in first 4 in Zenyatta or Beldame Stakes last time
- Ran in Milady, Apple Blossom, La Canada and/or Clement L Hirsch Stakes
- Won a graded stakes this year
- Previous grade 1 winner (or finished 2nd in multiple grade 1)
- Has won over 1M 1/2 or 1M 1/4