Cutting-Edge ideas often imitated but never duplicated.
Although it hasn't been updated in years, it remains effective.
Breeders Juvenile Tidbit
In the past years there have been four two year old Breeders' Cup winners who came into the event off a sprint and won their BC races around one turn miles. Horses who tried a juvenile race off a sprint when the BC was at a two turn track went 30-0-3-4.Won their last prep by 2 lengths or more:
Juvenile races had both the greatest number of qualifiers for this angle and the greatest amount of success. If one isolates juveniles only you get a total record of 74-13-3-5, that's from 22 races and 258 starters. The Impact Value is extremely strong at 2.06.The juvenile races were dominated by those 2yo's who had won at Saratoga or Del Mar. Winners combined for an incredible 62%. There was even more dominance once you factored in those who had run but not did not necessarily win at the premier summer meets.
Things to look for in a winner
- Good mid-race move in last race
- Beyer/BRIS top figure in last or last two
- Increasing figures as the distance increases
Eliminate
- Outside post at Kee
- More than 60-day layoff
Keeneland Race Course Track Facts
Keeneland has two tracks—a dirt and a turf course. The dirt track is a mile and a sixteenth of an oval, while the turf course is a 7-furlong oval. The chutes, which are extensions of the main track, allow races to be run which otherwise would have undesirable starting locations.Most races on the dirt course end at the finish line in front of the grandstand. Races at a mile and a sixteenth, however, start and finish at the sixteenth pole, which is a sixteenth of a mile from the finish of the other dirt races. This finish line is located in front of the clubhouse.
Two races were held at different lengths for the Keeneland Breeders’ Cup
- The Filly & Mare Turf was held at 1 3/16 miles instead of the usual 1 ¼ miles
- Turf Sprint was held at just 5 ½ furlongs instead of 6 ½ furlongs.
Keeneland Breeders Juvenile Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Sired by a grade 1 winner that ran in North America
- Won last time out or finished in the first 3 in a grade 1
- Ideally won maiden at Del Mar or Saratoga
- Never finished out of the first 3
- Won the Del Mar Futurity or Champagne Stakes
- Trained by Bob Baffert (used drugs to perform better) or Todd Pletcher
Tidbits from racecaller